- Author
-
Beard, A. N.
- Title
- Evaluation of Fire Models: Overview.
- Coporate
- Edinburgh Univ., Scotland
- Report
-
Report 11
October 1990
40 p.
- Keywords
-
fire models
|
evaluation
|
computer models
|
fire risk
|
computer programs
- Abstract
- Between November 1988 and June 1990 a preliminary evaluation of five computer-based models related to fire risk was carried out by the University of Edinburgh at the request of the Home Office. The evaluation took the general form of qualitative and quantitative assessments of each and has resulted in a series of ten reports, including this one: Report 1, ASET: Qualitative Assessment; Report 2, ASKFRS: Qualitative Assessment; Report 3, HAZARD I: Qualitative Assessment; Report 4, FIRST: Qualitative Assessment; Report 5, JASMINE: Qualitative Assessment; Report 6, ASET; Quantitative Assessment; Report 7, ASFKRS: Qualitative Assessment (there is no Report 7, see below); Report 8, HAZARD I: Quantitative Assessment; Report 9: FIRST: Quantitative Assessment; Report 10, JASMINE: Quantitative Assessment; Report 11, Overview. As noted above, there is no Report 7. This is because ASDFRS is not a single model as such but is a collection of relatively simple calculations. The form of quantitative assessment adopted was not directly applicable to ASKFRS. Consistency in report numbering has been maintained, however. For specific comments about the individual models it is necessary to obtain the corresponding reports. It is not the intention in this overview to summarise the specific results and conclusions. The purpose in this report is to raise some general issues about theoretical prediction in relation to fire risk. The intention here is to be brief and great detail will not be gone into although many of the issues raised lead into broad and complex questions to which there are no easy answers. An essential point to raise is that this whole subject is changing very rapidly and in general models are being developed continually. The comments made here and in the other reports, therefore, refer to the present time. Different comments may be relevant in the future.