- Author
-
Neumann, C. J.
- Title
- National Hurricane Center Risk Analysis Program (HURISK).
- Coporate
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Washington, DC
- Sponsor
- National Hurricane Center, Coral Gables, FL
- Report
-
NOAA TN NWS NHC 38
August 1991
62 p.
- Distribution
- Available from National Technical Information Service
- Contract
- 50-DGNC-6-00209
- Keywords
-
risk analysis
|
weather effects
- Identifiers
- National Hurricane Center Risk Analysis Program (HURISK); hurricanes
- Abstract
- The National Hurricane Center has developed a computerized model for assessing the long-term vulnerability of coastal areas to tropical cyclone events. Program output, essentially graphical, is in the form of 18 charts and diagrams. These charts depict tropical cyclone tracks, motion, intensity and wind return periods for any coastal or near-coastal site over the Atlantic tropical cyclone basin. For input, the program accesses current NHC files of historical tropical cyclone data. Program output can therefore be updated as the need arises. This publication is intended primarily as a user's manual, describing the utility of the various charts. However, minor technical discussion, as warranted by individual chart complexity, is also given. A major technical discussion contained in an Appendix, describes derivation of tropical cyclone return periods using a Monte-Carlo simulation procedure.