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Author
Lord, J. | Meacham, B. | Moore, A. | Fahy, R. F. | Proulx, G.
Title
Guide for Evaluating the Predictive Capabilities of Computer Egress Models.
Coporate
Ove Arup and Partners Massachusetts Inc., Westborough, MA National Fire Protection Association, Quincy, MA National Research Council of Canada, Ottawa, Ontario
Sponsor
National Institute of Standards and Technology, Gaithersburg, MD
Report
NIST GCR 06-886, December 2005, 107 p.
Keywords
egress | computer models | standards | human behavior | literature reviews
Identifiers
EXIT89; STEPS
Abstract
To begin addressing the issue of uncertainty and variability in egress data and in computational models for egress analysis, a three-year research study began in September 2002 under a grant from the National Institute for Standards and Technology, Building and Fire Research Laboratory (Grant 6ONANB2D0138), "Uncertainty in Egress Models and Data: Investigation of Dominant Parameters and Extent of Their Impact on Predicted Outcomes." The primary goals of this work were to:* Understand sources of uncertainty and variability in egress models.* Apply and refine a method of uncertainty analysis to computer egress modeling. *Identify "cross-over" variables that may have an impact on the results of the egress model that is significant enough to cause a change in an engineer's design of a building. * Provide building engineers with guidance in the appropriate use of computer egress models. The results of this three-year research study are provided in this document, broken into several informational appendices. (Year 1 Summary (September 2002 - September 2003); Year 2 Summary (September 2003 - September 2004) and Year 3 Summary (September 2004 - December 2005)