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Author
URS Corporation
Title
Prediction Models for Fire Spread Following Nuclear Attacks. Final Report.
Coporate
URS Corp., Burlingame, CA
Sponsor
Office of Civil Defense, Washington, DC
Report
URS 641-6
January 1965
216 p.
Distribution
Available from National Technical Information Service
Contract
0CD-PS-64-18
Keywords
fire spread | nuclear warfare | thermal radiation | mathematical models | statistical analysis | fire damage
Abstract
In Part 1 a semiempirical approach is used to predict fire spread beyond the area directly ignited by thermal radiation from nuclear weapons. Mathematical models, both stochastic and deterministic, describe the progress of fires in two-dimensional or one-dimensional space. Application of each model to appropriate cases is discussed. Part 2 presents the results of a statistical study on observed rate of spread data and discusses a number of specific problems that must be worked out before the method can be used for assessing the fire damage from nuclear attacks.